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Monthly returns (consistency)

Monthly returns are each calendar month's P&L against your capital, as a percentage. Their point is not the total they add up to, it is their resemblance from one month to the next: twelve months that look alike are worth more than one exceptional month and eleven flat ones.

The mean, and the spread around it

mean 1.12 % one standard deviation band 1.12 ÷ 1.99 = 0.56 mean ÷ standard deviation: that is the whole formula
The same bars, tighter around the blue line, would give a higher ratio without earning a penny more. What is measured here is steadiness, not performance.

Key takeaways

  • The calculation: month's P&L ÷ reference capital, as a percentage.
  • What you look for: regularity, not the total. That is what the word consistency means.
  • The figure that matters: the share of the best month in the annual result.
  • The prop firm rule: many refuse to let one month weigh more than a fixed share of the gain.
  • The trap: twelve months is a tiny sample, and a good run looks like skill in it.

1. What is Monthly returns (consistency)?

Monthly returns cut your performance into calendar months and relate each to a reference capital. It is the most readable slicing of a year: wide enough to smooth out extreme days, fine enough for a drift to show before the year is over.

What is called consistency is simply how much those twelve numbers resemble each other. A trader making +1.5% every month and one making +18% in a month and nothing the rest of the year end up in the same place, and nobody would judge them alike. The second has not demonstrated much.

That distinction is not theoretical, it is contractual at many prop firms: a share of the gain too concentrated on a single period fails a funded account, even in profit. The rule is often called a consistency rule, and it is measured on exactly these figures.

2. The calculation formula

The basic formula

Monthly return = month's P&L ÷ reference capital × 100

The reference capital is a choice: start-of-year balance, start-of-month balance, or average capital. All three give different series, and the harshest is the one restarting from the start-of-year balance.

Deposits and withdrawals distort everything if they are not removed from the calculation. A $5,000 transfer taken for a gain turns a flat month into an excellent one.

Prop firms' consistency rule is not always measured on months: many compute it on the best day against total gain. The principle is the same, the window is not, and it is for the contract to say.

Interpreting the result

Share of the best monthWhat it describes
under 20%Very regular. The result comes from repetition, not from one opportunity.
20 to 35%Normal for discretionary trading over twelve months.
35 to 50%Concentrated. Half the year was decided in one month, and you need to know why.
above 50%The rest of the year produced nothing. That is not a method, it is an opportunity taken.
negative annual gainThe calculation stops meaning anything: one positive month's share of a negative total describes nothing.

The table reads with a caveat that matters more than the thresholds themselves: twelve points is very few. A year of monthly returns is a tiny sample, and a series that looks regular may be so by chance. These thresholds serve to decide on funding, not to conclude a method is good, and confusing the two is the most common way of overrating yourself.

The second point concerns the reference capital, which is almost never stated. Relating each month to the start-of-year balance produces percentages that mechanically rise as the account grows; relating them to the month's balance gives a stable but less flattering series. Two traders publishing their monthly returns almost never measure the same thing.

A worked example

  • Twelve months: +2.1 · −0.8 · +3.4 · +1.2 · −1.9 · +4.0 · +0.6 · +2.8 · −0.4 · +1.5 · +3.1 · −2.2.
  • Year total: +13.4%.
  • Best month: +4.0%.
  • Share of the best month in the annual gain: 4.0 ÷ 13.4.
  • Positive months: 8 out of 12.

The best month represents 30% of the annual gain. That is high without being abnormal, and it is the limit many prop firms set between 25 and 40% depending on the house. So this series would scrape through at some and fail at others, with exactly the same performance.

3. What it is used for

Knowing whether you would pass a consistency rule

This is the most concrete use, and it can be quantified before even paying for a challenge. Take your best month, divide it by your total gain, compare with the limit the house announces. If you exceed it, the account will fail even while in profit, and that information is worth the price of the challenge.

Watch the window: some houses measure on the best day rather than the best month, which is far harsher. The contract says so, and it is the only source that counts.

Spotting a drift before the year ends

A monthly series degrading gradually is visible long before an annual review reveals it. Three consecutive months of relative decline say something the annual total will keep hiding for months.

It is the right rhythm for this kind of check: the day is too noisy to conclude on, the year too slow to correct, and the month sits exactly between the two.

4. Why the generic calculation misleads

The first flaw is the sample, and it is structural: a year is only twelve points. No serious statistic is drawn from twelve observations, and yet monthly returns are published as if they demonstrated something. They describe what happened, they predict nothing, and the difference is rarely drawn.

The second is the unstated reference capital. Start of year, start of month, average capital: three conventions, three series, and almost nobody states which. A monthly return published without its base is a figure that can be neither checked nor compared.

The third is confusing consistency with skill. A regular series can come from a calm market, a modest position size or chance, and it often degrades as soon as conditions change. Consistency is a quality of the observed series, not a property of the trader who produced it.

5. Advantages and limitations

Advantages

  1. The month is the right scale. Wide enough to smooth extreme days, fine enough for a drift to show before the year ends.
  2. They relate directly to a contractual rule, the consistency one, which many prop firms apply and few traders check before paying.
  3. They make regularity visible at a glance, where an equity curve hides it behind its slope.

Limitations

  1. Twelve points demonstrate nothing. A series regular over a year can be so by chance, and it is published as proof.
  2. The reference capital is almost never stated, which makes two series incomparable without saying so.
  3. Deposits and withdrawals distort everything if not removed, and a transfer taken for a gain turns a flat month into an excellent one.

The classic mistake. Counting a deposit as a gain. The balance rises the same way in both cases, so a transfer turns a flat month into the year's best, and the whole consistency reading collapses with nothing flagging it. Capital movements are removed from the calculation before anything else.

6. Comparison with related indicators

IndicatorFormulaWhat it measuresWhen to use it
Monthly returnsmonth's P&L ÷ capitalRegularity, month by monthChecking a consistency rule
Sharpe ratiomean ÷ standard deviationThe same regularity, in one numberComparing two methods at equal return
Total returnnet P&L ÷ starting capitalThe result, without the pathSaying what the period returned
Maximum drawdown(peak − trough) ÷ peakThe worst decline, not regularitySizing positions

The differences that matter

  1. Monthly returns and the Sharpe ratio measure the same thing in two forms. The series shows regularity, Sharpe sums it up in one number. The series reads by eye and can be discussed, the number compares: keep both.
  2. Total return says where you end up, monthly returns say how. Two traders with the same annual return can have unrelated monthly series, and it is that difference which decides funding.
  3. None of the four speaks of sample size, and yet that is what should be written alongside. Twelve months is twelve observations, and nobody would draw a conclusion from twelve trades.

7. How to improve it

1. Compute your best-month share before paying for a challenge

Best month divided by total gain, compared with the limit the house announces. The calculation takes two minutes and it says whether a funded account would fail even while in profit. It is the cheapest and least often checked piece of information on the prop firm path.

2. Write down your calculation base and never change it

Start of year, start of month or average capital: all three are defensible, changing mid-course is not. With no fixed base, a monthly series compares neither with your own from last year nor with anybody else's.

3. Remove deposits and withdrawals from the calculation

A transfer counted as a gain manufactures an excellent month that has nothing to do with trading. It is the crudest error in this statistic, and it is frequent because the balance rises the same way in both cases.

8. Frequently asked questions

What are monthly returns?

They are each calendar month's P&L against your reference capital, as a percentage. The series of a year's twelve months serves to judge the regularity of a performance rather than its total.

What is consistency?

How much the months resemble each other. A trader steady at +1.5% a month and one making +18% in a month and nothing the rest of the year reach the same total, and only the first has demonstrated a method. Many prop firms make it a contractual rule.

How do you check a consistency rule?

Divide your best month by your total gain over the period, and compare with the limit the house announces, often between 25 and 40%. Careful: some measure on the best day rather than the best month, which is far harsher. Only the contract counts.

Which capital should the calculation use?

Three conventions exist: the start-of-year balance, the start-of-month balance, or average capital. All three are defensible and give different series. What matters is choosing one, writing it down, and never changing it, because a monthly return without its base compares to nothing.

Does a good year prove a method?

No, and that is the most widespread confusion on this subject. Twelve months is twelve observations, which is a tiny sample: a regular series can be so by chance, or because the market was calm. Consistency describes the observed series, it does not demonstrate skill.

9. In Tradoshi

Monthly returns are displayed in the Track record widget on the dashboard, one block per calendar month, below the performance summary. They are computed from each month's P&L drawn from your trades, fees included, with nothing to type in.

The check described above happens in the same screen: the best month's share is read by comparing the tallest block with the total return displayed just above. And for the other form of the same measure, the Reports screen gives the Sharpe ratio, which sums that regularity up in a single number.

10. In summary

  1. Monthly returns are each month's P&L against capital. What you read in them is how much the months resemble each other, not their total.
  2. The best month's share of the annual gain is the decisive figure, because it is the one prop firms' consistency rules measure.
  3. Twelve months is twelve observations. The series describes what happened, it does not demonstrate skill, and that confusion is the most frequent one on this subject.

To go deeper on this: read the full guide. Every term is gathered in the glossary.