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Volume profile

A volume profile sorts traded volume by price level rather than by unit of time. Where a classic chart answers 'how much traded between 9 and 10', the profile answers 'how much traded between 1.0955 and 1.0960', which is not the same question.

Volume sorted by price level

Traded volume 1.1000 18 1.0980 42 1.0960 97 1.0940 35 1.0920 12
The longest row is the price where the market did most business. That is what the vocabulary calls the point of control, and it cannot be deduced from a candlestick chart.

Key takeaways

  • The definition: volume sorted by price, not by time. That is all, and that is what changes the reading.
  • The point of control: the price where the market did most business. It is the profile's main marker.
  • The thin areas: prices that barely traded, often crossed quickly when the market comes back.
  • P and b shapes describe where volume concentrated during the session, at the top or at the bottom.
  • The fundamental limit: in Forex there is no central volume, only your broker's.

1. What is Volume profile?

A volume profile takes every transaction over a period and stacks it by price. The result is a horizontal histogram placed next to the chart: the longer the bar, the more the market traded at that price. This is information a candlestick chart contains nowhere, since it sorts everything by time.

The price carrying the longest bar is called the point of control, often shortened to POC. That is where the most positions were built, so where the most people have something to defend or correct. The reasoning stops there, and it is enough: a price where many people traded is a price many people watch.

The reverse reads just as well. Nearly empty levels, called low volume nodes, are prices the market crossed without stopping. When it comes back, it tends to cross them fast, for lack of anything to hold it. Our lesson on order flow and the volume profile covers the full method.

2. The calculation formula

The basic formula

Profile = for each price level, the sum of volume traded there over the period

The period is a choice, and it changes everything: the session profile, the weekly one, or that of a specific move do not give the same levels.

The step size is a second setting. Too fine and the reading becomes noise; too coarse and the point of control moves.

In Forex, no central volume exists: each broker publishes its own, computed on its own clients. Two profiles of the same day at two brokers are not comparable, and that is a limit of nature, not of setting.

Interpreting the result

What the profile showsHow it reads
A sharp peak, the point of controlMany positions at the same price. The most watched level of the period.
An almost empty levelThe market passed through without trading. It tends to cross it back quickly.
A bell-shaped profileA balanced session, extreme prices were refused. A ranging market.
A P shapeVolume concentrated at the top. Often a rise that stopped and is consolidating.
A b shapeVolume concentrated at the bottom. The mirror of the P, after a fall.

P and b shapes are the most quoted and the most misused part. They describe where volume concentrated, at the top or the bottom of the session, and nothing more. A P profile does not announce a fall: it says an upward move stopped and positions accumulated near the high. What comes next is not readable in the shape.

The genuinely useful reading is more down to earth: the point of control and the thin levels give prices, and prices can be compared with what the market does afterwards. A shape gets narrated, a level gets checked, and only the second belongs in a journal.

A worked example

  • Over the session, 204 contracts traded in total.
  • 1.0960: 97 contracts, that is 48% of the total.
  • 1.0980: 42 contracts.
  • 1.0940: 35 contracts.
  • 1.0920: 12 contracts, the thinnest level.

The session's point of control is 1.0960, and it concentrates almost half the activity. At the other end, 1.0920 saw almost nothing: it is a level price stands a good chance of crossing without stopping if it returns. Both pieces of information come from the same calculation, and no candlestick chart contains them.

3. What it is used for

Finding levels nobody else sees

This is the profile's main contribution, and it is real: the point of control and thin areas appear on no candlestick chart. They are extra levels, obtained with no indicator and no setting, from data the platform already holds.

Their quality comes from their origin. A profile level does not come from a formula applied to price, it comes from what actually traded. That is what separates it from most indicators, which recompute price from price.

Choosing a target rather than an entry

A thin level above current price is a place the market crosses quickly, so a poor place to aim an exit. A point of control, on the contrary, is a place price often slows down. So the profile is mostly useful for placing realistic targets, and that use measures very well.

It is also the most honest use given the tool's limits: aiming at a level does not require believing it will hold, only that it will be reached.

4. Why the generic calculation misleads

The most serious flaw concerns Forex, and it is structural. There is no central market, so no market volume: what your profile displays is your broker's volume, sometimes even a plain tick count. Two traders at two brokers see two different profiles of the same day, and neither describes what the market did. On futures, where volume is central, the problem does not exist.

The second is the chosen period, almost always left at the default. A session profile, a weekly profile and a move's profile give three different points of control, and each looks convincing on its own. With no written rule about the period, you look at the one that confirms.

The third is the talk about shapes. A P profile tells a good story, is quick to recognise and predicts nothing. Levels, on the other hand, can be checked. A method built on shapes produces no statistic because it produces no prices: there is nothing to compare afterwards.

5. Advantages and limitations

Advantages

  1. It shows what no candlestick chart contains. Volume by price is extra data, not a recomputation of price from price.
  2. It gives numeric levels. The point of control and thin areas are prices, so targets and stops you can compute.
  3. It needs no sensitivity setting. Beyond period and step size there is nothing to optimise, so nothing to over-optimise.

Limitations

  1. In Forex, the volume is not the market's, only your broker's. That is the most serious limit, and it cannot be corrected.
  2. The profile describes the past. It says where the market traded, never where it will trade, and nothing in the tool claims otherwise.
  3. The choice of period is subjective and moves the point of control. With no written rule, you end up looking at whichever profile gives the expected level.

The classic mistake. Reading a Forex profile like a futures profile. On a market with no central clearing, the volume displayed is not the market's but your broker's, and two traders at two brokers see two different profiles of the same day. Conclusions drawn from such a profile transfer nowhere.

6. Comparison with related indicators

IndicatorFormulaWhat it measuresWhen to use it
Volume profileVolume sorted by price over a periodWhere the market traded mostPlacing targets, spotting thin areas
DOMThe order book displayed verticallyRESTING orders, at a given instantSeeing displayed intent, not a fact
FootprintEach candle opened into two columnsWhat ACTUALLY executed, level by levelReading aggression inside a candle
Classic volumeTotal volume under each candleHow much traded per unit of TIMESpotting an abnormally active candle

The differences that matter

  1. The volume profile and classic volume use the same data and answer different questions. One sorts it by price, the other by time. That is the only gap between them, and it changes everything you can draw from it.
  2. The DOM shows intent, the profile shows a fact. An order displayed in the book can be pulled without ever executing; volume in a profile corresponds to transactions that happened. That is the most important distinction in this group of terms.
  3. The footprint is a volume profile per candle, with the side of the aggression added. Whoever understands the profile understands the footprint: it is the same idea, applied to one candle instead of a session, enriched with who crossed the spread.

7. How to improve it

1. In Forex, know what you are looking at

Open your profile's settings and check whether the source is real volume or a tick count. That does not make the tool useless, but it changes what can be said about it: a tick profile describes your broker's activity, not the market's, and it compares to nothing outside. On futures, the question does not arise.

2. Fix the period once and for all

Session profile, weekly profile, profile of a move: choose, write it down, apply it. The point of control moves from one profile to another, so three profiles displayed at once guarantee some level will always confirm what you already thought.

3. Use it for targets before using it for entries

That is the easiest use to measure and the quickest to validate. Log the target you aimed at and compare it with what the trade actually returned: if your exits at the point of control are reached more often than your arbitrary ones, you have checked something instead of believing it.

8. Frequently asked questions

What is a volume profile?

It is a histogram that sorts traded volume by price level instead of by unit of time. It shows at which prices the market traded most over a period, information a candlestick chart contains nowhere.

What is the point of control?

It is the price carrying the largest volume of the period, that is the profile's longest bar. It is where the most positions were built, so the most watched level, and it most often serves as a target rather than an entry.

Is there a volume profile statistical edge?

The levels it supplies are real and are not found elsewhere, which is already value. But a volume profile strategy cannot be judged in the abstract: any volume profile trading strategy depends on the market, on the chosen period and above all on the source of the volume. On futures, where volume is central, the reasoning holds; in Forex, the profile describes your broker and nothing else.

What does a P shaped volume profile mean?

A P shaped volume profile has its volume concentrated at the top: an upward move stopped and positions accumulated near the high. A b shape is its mirror, after a fall. These shapes describe where volume settled, they do not announce what comes next, and that is the most frequent mistake made about them.

Does the volume profile work in Forex?

Not in the same way. Forex has no central market, so no market volume: what you see is your broker's volume, and sometimes a plain tick count. The tool stays usable for locating activity in your own feed, but the levels compare with nobody else's, unlike on futures.

9. In Tradoshi

Tradoshi does not display a volume profile, and that is worth saying plainly rather than letting it be assumed: it is a journal, it records what executed on your account, not how market volume is distributed. What it does is answer the next question, whether your profile levels earn you anything.

The tool for that is MFE, the peak unrealised gain reached before closing, shown in the Reports screen. If you aim at the point of control as a target, MFE says whether price actually got there or whether you exited first, and the gap between average MFE and average gain banked puts a number on exactly what you leave to the market. Tag those trades and the Performance by tag block in the Journal screen isolates them from the rest.

10. In summary

  1. A volume profile sorts volume by price rather than by time. The most traded price is the point of control, the nearly empty ones are thin areas.
  2. In Forex, the volume displayed is your broker's, sometimes a plain tick count. That is the tool's most serious limit, and it cannot be corrected.
  3. P and b shapes tell a good story and give no prices. Levels, on the other hand, can be checked: those are the ones to keep.

To go deeper on this: read the full guide. Every term is gathered in the glossary.

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